{"id":65563,"date":"2020-11-04T07:00:50","date_gmt":"2020-11-04T15:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cogwriter.com\/news\/?p=65563"},"modified":"2020-11-04T12:08:01","modified_gmt":"2020-11-04T20:08:01","slug":"polls-again-wrong-donald-trump-asserts-victory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cogwriter.com\/news\/prophecy\/polls-again-wrong-donald-trump-asserts-victory\/","title":{"rendered":"Polls again wrong, Donald Trump asserts victory, but …"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"
\n(Upsplash Photo)
\n<\/em><\/p>\n

COGwriter<\/a><\/p>\n

Similar to the 2016 US Presidential election, polls showing how badly Donald Trump would lose the 2020 election were wrong. Here is a little about that:<\/p>\n

November 4, 2020<\/p>\n

Chaos. That’s the best way to describe what has happened …<\/p>\n

Initially Trump shocked pollsters – again – after winning Florida by a whopping 370K votes where a surge in Hispanic support crippled hopes for a Biden landslide, followed by wins in Ohio and Texas.<\/p>\n

No matter the final outcome, Trump dramatically outperformed initial polling estimates, and even the NYT admits that “many of the state polls were wrong and underestimated support for Republicans \u2014 again.” A big question in coming days according to the NYT will be “why: Did polls again fail to include enough working-class white voters, as was the case in 2016? Or was it something else?” <\/strong>(spoiler alert: it was something else, and it’s called poll bias being constantly in the Democrats’ favor).<\/p>\n

It is also notable that Trump managed to improve his overall popular vote count by nearly 4 million from 2016, rising to 66.75 million versus 62.98 million<\/strong>, and as David Rosenberg puts it, Trump clearly has more than just a \u201cbase\u201d supporting him. Or there are a lot of folks who feared a Blue Wave\/move to the left. “America is never going socialist. That\u2019s one message among many.”<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Biden has not made as much progress in key areas as was expected, while the loss of Hispanic support in Florida should serve as a major warning for Democrats, with even the NYT admitting “Democrats struggled to match their 2016 margins among Hispanic voters” which hurt Biden, “especially in Florida and Texas.”<\/p>\n

* * *<\/p>\n

The two candidates took to addressing the nation shortly after midnight, with Biden coming up first, and urging patience.<\/p>\n

“We believe we\u2019re on track to win this election,\u201d he said. \u201cWe\u2019re going to have to be patient until the hard work of tallying the votes is finished. And it ain\u2019t over until every vote is counted, every ballot is counted.”<\/p>\n

This was followed by Trump at 2:30am when he declared himself the winner, and said he would call on the Supreme Court to stop counting ballots in states where he led, while urging more counting in states where he was behind. Trump also claimed \u201cfraud\u201d and he called the election an \u201cembarrassment to the country.” https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/here-latest-election<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The major media’s disinformation regarding the Russian collusion connection to Donald Trump, impeachment pressure since he wanted the Hunter Biden-Ukraine connection investigated, burying negative stories related to Joe Biden, and the pushing misleading information about COVID-19 did not work quite as well as the major media hoped.<\/p>\n

As it turns out, I told people yesterday morning that I expected Donald Trump to declare victory after the votes were cast, which he did do. Here is more related to him and that:<\/p>\n

November 4, 2020<\/p>\n

As Election Day came and went without a verdict in the presidential race, President Donald Trump grew agitated. At 2:21 a.m., the president took the stage before a well-lubricated crowd in the East Room and falsely claimed he had won. He vowed to take his case to the Supreme Court.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe were getting ready for a big celebration,\u201d Trump said. \u201cWe were winning everything and all of the sudden it was just called off.\u201d …<\/p>\n

He added, \u201cWe will win this and as far as I\u2019m concerned we already have won it.\u201d …<\/p>\n

Neither Trump nor Biden had yet reached the 270 Electoral College votes required to win the presidency.<\/p>\n

Biden, too, felt the need to respond to the indecision.<\/p>\n

Just after midnight, the former vice president\u2019s motorcade abruptly shuttled him from his house in Wilmington, Delaware, to an outdoor speaking venue nearby, where he cautioned that a result might not come for a few days.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe\u2019re going to have to be patient,\u201d Biden said around 12:30 a.m., as supporters honked their car horns to signal their assent. \u201cIt ain\u2019t over until every vote is counted.\u201d https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/election-2020-donald-trump-elections-courts-5970b4505da7a306fe7916b9611bd9d2<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Donald Trump sent out a tweet today that Twitter inserted a warning inside:<\/p>\n

\n

Last night I was leading, often solidly, in many key States, in almost all instances Democrat run & controlled. Then, one by one, they started to magically disappear as surprise ballot dumps were counted. VERY STRANGE, and the \u201cpollsters\u201d got it completely & historically wrong!<\/p>\n

\u2014 Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 4, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n