Obama Administration via Russia to Iran: Accede or Be Attacked


War drums continue to be sounded from the USA and Israel:

‘US warns Iran: Accede or be attacked’
Jerusalem Post – March 14, 2012

The United States asked Russia to send Iran a message that the upcoming round of nuclear talks is its last chance to avoid a military confrontation this year, Russian newspaper Kommersant reported Wednesday according to a diplomatic source.

The unusually stark warning by the US was passed on by Secretary of State Hilary Clinton to her Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov, after the two met in New York on Monday, the diplomatic source told the Russian newspaper.

The source said pressure from Jerusalem on Washington was forcing the latter to support a military option within the year in order to stop Tehran from developing a nuclear bomb.

“The invasion will happen before the year’s end,” the source told Kommersant. “The Israelis are, in effect, blackmailing Obama: either he supports the war, or he risks losing the support [of the Jewish lobby]” the year of US presidential elections.  http://www.jpost.com/IranianThreat/News/Article.aspx?id=261804

Christian Science Monitor – 14 March 2012

“The window for solving this issue diplomatically is shrinking,” Mr. Obama said, adding that the world and the US will not accept a nuclear-armed Iran. He concluded with a message to the Iranian government: “Meet your international obligations or face the consequences.”

The Reuters/Ipsos poll does suggest that Republicans are much more likely to favor striking Iran – perhaps reflecting the hawkish rhetoric on Iran from Republican presidential candidates during last week’s visit to Washington by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. While 70 percent of Republicans would support bombing an Iran that was shown to be building a nuclear weapon, 46 percent of Democrats and 51 percent of independents would support such action.

I have been writing that I felt that Israel was providing pressure to the USA related to the upcoming US presidential election.  And according to the Jerusalem Post source, I was correct about that.  Presuming that Russia did deliver the Obama Administration’s message, it likely understands that the USA is serious and probably would not want to directly engage the USA militarily itself.

This type of attack, especially if it has much USA military involvement, would have devastating effects on Iran, yet it could also cause the USA debt, terrorist, and other problems. An attack by Israel could eliminate Iran as a major force in the Islamic world and very well could happen by November of 2012.

Yet, while US President Obama hopes not to have a major war, I suspect that a regional war in the Middle East could get out of control, especially presuming Syria is involved (the USA keeps dropping hints about supporting the opposition in Syria that Syria would almost certainly get involved). Syria itself is having major problems now internationally as many are upset with its handling of internal protests and revolutionaries (one news headline today was Obama: Syria Military Intervention Premature which certainly hints that military intervention with Syria may happen).  Syrian involvement with Iran (or other unrest, including internal unrest) may result in so much damage to Damascus (Isaiah 17:1) and/or Iran that it could spur massive outrage in the Islamic world. Enough so that the primarily Sunni Arabs will likely decide that they need closer unity and will support some type of caliph/Mahdi and that the biblical King of the South will rise up.

According to the Bible, the King of the South (Daniel 11:40) will rise up and we will see if this happens sometime after a conflict with Iran–somehow Iran’s influence is going to be minimized or otherwise neutralized.

This does not mean that I believe that Israel (or the USA and its allies for that matter) will end up without potentially severe losses, only that Iran and Syria may start to feel so desperate that they will conclude that military conflict with Israel is their best option–if so, this would be a mistake on those nations’ part. But with all the pressure that Iran and Syria are having, they (if the current Syrian regime lasts long enough, and it may not) may feel that they have no choice but to get more aggressive themselves (perhaps after pretending otherwise).

We will see.

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