WSJ: Hormuz Gridlock Risks Global Food Crisis. ZH: Plague in Russia?


(Illustration above produced by ChatGPT for COGwriter)

COGwriter

After Russia began its Special Military Operation into Ukraine in 2022, there began to be shortages of fertilizer (see ‘Fertilizer Prices Continue Rising, Increasing Fears of Global Grain Costs and Shortages’). Then we saw a return of food price inflation (see Food Inflation: World Food Prices Jump Most In 18 Months).

One unintended consequence of the USA-Israel war against Iran has been a disruption of fertilizer exports.

The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) says this is threatening the global food supply:

Hormuz Gridlock Risks Global Food Crisis, International Chamber of Commerce Chief Says

Available fertilizer capacity has fallen by nearly 40% since the strait was disrupted

October 5, 2026

Disruptions to a vital shipping route in the Middle East have created an energy shock. Now, a global food security crisis is brewing, warns the secretary-general of the International Chamber of Commerce.

The monthslong conflict between Iran and the U.S. has curbed the flow of goods through the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway many countries rely on for imports of critical inputs like fertilizers and natural gas. https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/hormuz-gridlock-risks-global-food-crisis-international-chamber-of-commerce-chief-says-667781c8

Wall Street Journal: Hormuz strait situation could cause global food crisis

October 5, 2026

Disruptions to a vital shipping route in the Middle East have created an energy shock. Now, a global food security crisis is brewing, warns the secretary general of the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC), John Denton, reports The Wall Street Journal. …

According to Denton, if the strait is not reopened, grain prices could rise by up to 80%, which would be particularly hard on the economies of import-dependent countries. He added that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz has caused a shortage of about 2.7 million tons of fertilizer on the world market.

The ICC is working with the UN and the International Maritime Organization on a mechanism that would transfer temporary management of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz to the UN Secretary General. The mechanism being developed includes monitoring, ship insurance, and inspections, but the lack of agreement between the US and Iran is blocking its implementation. https://news.am/en/news/1065805

Notice also the following:

Southeast Asia faces ‘sleeper’ food crisis from Hormuz fertiliser bottleneck

A hunger crisis could creep up on Southeast Asia if the region does not guard against export restrictions amid a fertiliser shortfall, International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) Secretary General John Denton has warned.
On the sidelines of the Future of Trade Forum in Singapore on Wednesday, Denton urged the city state, as the next Asean chair, to prioritise the “sleeper issue” for the region. He argued that the real story centred on food, despite the Strait of Hormuz gridlock being widely seen as an energy crunch.

He noted that the UN was able to carve out the Black Sea Grain Initiative during the Russia-Ukraine war by getting both sides to sign off on an agreement that allowed for the safe export of grain from certain ports, alleviating a global food emergency. 09/30/26 https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/economics/article/3369338/southeast-asia-faces-sleeper-food-crisis-hormuz-fertiliser-bottleneck

I reported about the fertilizer risk this past Spring (see WAPO: Iran war is threatening global food supply; COGwriter: Ride of third horseman of the Apocalypse will intensify).

Food price inflation will increase.

Jesus said:

4 Take heed that no one deceives you. 5 For many will come in My name, saying, ‘I am the Christ,’ and will deceive many. 6 And you will hear of wars and rumors of wars. See that you are not troubled; for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet. 7 For nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom. And there will be famines, pestilences, and earthquakes in various places. 8 All these are the beginning of sorrows.  (Matthew 24:4-8)

The rides of the four horsemen of the Apocalypse (Revelation 6:1-8) relate to what Jesus warned would happen.

And certainly we are in a time of wars and rumors of war.

Wars often lead to famines, food shortages, and/or food inflation.

Related to pestilence issues, ZeroHedge reported the following:

Russian Lab Worker’s Abrupt Death Sparks Plague Crisis Concerns; Trump Team “Monitoring Outbreak”

October 5, 2026

With wars in Eastern Europe and the Gulf already sending the world down a dangerous trajectory toward worsening instability ahead of the Northern Hemisphere winter (see the global refining crisis), a suspected plague case at a Russian research institute has added a potential public health crisis to that risk landscape.

Axios reports that a laboratory worker’s death in Siberia’s Irkutsk region has prompted medical observation of nearly 200 potential contacts.

The Trump administration “is aware, monitoring the outbreak, and assessing options,” the outlet said, citing an administration official.

Last week, a 28-year-old worker of the Anti-Plague Institute died of severe pneumonia. Local Russian media outlets reported that the worker may have been exposed to the bacterium responsible for pneumonic plague after breaking a test tube. https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/russian-lab-workers-abrupt-death-sparks-plague-crisis-concerns-trump-team-monitoring

I have long warned that humans, directly or indirectly, will be a factor in the coming more severe pestilences.

And while the broken test tube in Russia was unintentional, there have been many issues with humans working with, and sometimes enhancing, biological pathogens.

We also have the following video:

14:53

Biological Weapons and the 4th Horseman of the Apocalypse

Tucker Carlson interviewed Democratic presidential party candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (RFK). During that interview, RFK asserted that the United States has had thousands of scientists working on making bioweapons. Officially, the USA has denied this as it is a party to the Biological Weapons Convention. RFK states that Anthoy Fauci was responsible for biological weapons development. Does the ‘Global South’ consider that the West may intend to exterminate people through biological warfare? Did Jesus prophesy pestilences? Have humans engaged in biological or germ warfare for millennia? What were some things that Raymond McNair warned about over 50 years ago? Can we trust scientists to totally safely control all the infectious agents they work with? Could humankind be developing, knowingly or unknowingly, biological agents that could be responsible for many of the deaths that are prophesied to occur with the ride of the ‘pale horse of death,’ which is the fourth of the four horsemen of the Apocalypse to ride? Steve Dupuie and Dr. Thiel address these matters.

Here is a link to our video: Biological Weapons and the 4th Horseman of the Apocalypse.

Biological pathogens developed by humans are a real threat. And now, with AI involvement, it can be faster and perhaps much worse.

Plus, mistakes happen.

We are getting to the end of what looks to be the 6,000 years that God has allowed humans to rule themselves, which will soon be followed by the 1,000 year reign of Christ. Pray for Jesus to return and God’s Kingdom to come (Matthew 6:10).

But prior to Jesus return, “there will be great tribulation” as Jesus foretold (Matthew 24:21).

Some articles of possibly related interest may include:

Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse What do each of the four horseman of the Apocalypse represent? Have they began their ride? Did Jesus discuss the any of this? Might their rides coincide with the “beginning of sorrows? Do they start their ride prior to the Great Tribulation? Did Nostradamus or any other ‘private prophets’ write predictions that may mislead people so that they may not understand the truth of one or more of the four horseman? There is also a related YouTube video titled Sorrows and the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse.
Does God Have a 6,000 Year Plan? What Year Does the 6,000 Years End? Was a 6000 year time allowed for humans to rule followed by a literal thousand year reign of Christ on Earth taught by the early Christians? Does God have 7,000 year plan? What year may the six thousand years of human rule end? When will Jesus return? 2034 or 20xx?
When Will the Great Tribulation Begin? 2026, 2027, or 2028? Can the Great Tribulation begin today? What happens before the Great Tribulation in the “beginning of sorrows”? What happens in the Great Tribulation and the Day of the Lord? Is this the time of the Gentiles? When is the earliest that the Great Tribulation can begin? What is the Day of the Lord? Who are the 144,000? A short video is available titled: Countdown to the Great Tribulation.