‘100 days to Brexit: EU acts to cushion no-deal shock’

COGwriter

With the clock running out on the original Brexit date, both the UK and the EU are looking more at having no deal:

100 days to Brexit: EU acts to cushion no-deal shock

December 19, 2018

BRUSSELS (AP) — With British politics gridlocked and just 100 days until Brexit, the European Union on Wednesday triggered contingency plans designed to cushion some of the shock of a “no-deal” U.K. exit from the bloc.

The EU measures, announced a day after Britain ramped up its own no-deal planning, are intended to alleviate “major disruption” to people and businesses in sectors including financial services, customs, air transport and climate policy.

European Commission Vice President Valdis Dombrovskis told reporters that the plan was “an exercise in limiting damage.”

He said the aim was “to turn an abrupt exit into a more soft landing.”

Britain is due to leave the EU on March 29, but it remains unclear whether lawmakers will approve the divorce agreement Prime Minister Theresa May’s government has negotiated with the bloc. Leaving without a deal risks plunging the British economy into recession and touching off chaos at the borders.

The 14 EU actions include temporary one- to two-year measures to allow U.K.-EU financial services to continue and a 12-month provision to keep planes flying between Britain and the bloc.

But Dombrovskis stressed that the measures “cannot replicate the benefits of the withdrawal agreement, and certainly it cannot replicate the benefits of EU membership.”

On Tuesday, the British government stepped up U.K. no-deal preparations, putting 3,500 soldiers on standby and warning thousands of businesses and millions of households to get ready for disruption.

The government said the plans — which include chartering boats and stockpiling medicines — are a sensible precaution.

But opposition politicians accuse the government of trying to scare lawmakers into supporting May’s Brexit deal.

Opposition Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn on Wednesday accused May of “a cynical attempt to drive her deeply damaging deal through this House.”

“No-deal would be a disaster for our country and no responsible government would ever allow it,” Corbyn said.

Many businesses agree. Britain’s five leading business groups said in a rare joint statement that businesses “have been watching in horror” as political infighting made the prospect of a disorderly Brexit more likely. https://www.apnews.com/0f79bb00d07b453bb6ac1359e965f4d8

19 December 2018

Brussels says the arrangements will be strictly time-limited, and will be ended without any consultation with the UK.

BBC Europe editor Katya Adler says Brussels will be keen to point out that these proposals are not in the UK’s favour.

They are to protect EU member states from the more catastrophic aspects of Brexit if no deal is reached, our correspondent explains. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-46617152

Whether or not the UK accepts the Brexit deal that Theresa May wants Parliament to accept or not, the Europeans will not forget Brexit and will later take steps against the UK.

Notice also the following:

A ‘no-deal’ Brexit might look like this

December 19, 2018

LONDON — It’s the Brexit scenario that almost everyone dreads: Britain crashing out of the European Union with no divorce agreement and no arrangement for future trade.

And at the moment, that’s the default option for what will happen on March 29. …

There would be no transition and an abrupt end to more than four decades of agreements. The consequences of the divorce are far reaching and affect nearly every aspect of society. E.U. law and policy influences trade, security, medicines, travel, workplace regulations and more.

Economic misery, chaos at ports, grounded flights and food shortages are all possibilities, according to analysts. …

Rod McKenzie, the managing director of policy at the Road Haulage Association, described the impact on the trucking industry as “dire.”

He said freight businesses were “facing a very serious situation which the government has not adequately made provision for.”

The customs paperwork alone would be crippling, according to the organization. In addition, each truck would need a special permit to cross into the E.U. …

The shock waves of a “no-deal” Brexit would be felt across the British economy.

According to potential scenarios modeled by the Bank of England, the U.K.’s GDP could be up to 10.5 percent lower than it would have been by the end of 2023. …

One area that could feel the harshest effect of a no-deal scenario would be the border between Northern Ireland, which is part of the U.K., and the Irish Republic, a separate country that will remain part of the E.U. …

With no agreement … Some fear that could provoke a return to violence. …

“In a ‘no-deal’ exit, the British government would go into crisis mode, and would have to deal with the immediate effects of long lines at ports, questions of food and medicine, and interruptions to flights,” said Amanda Sloat, a former State Department official during the Obama administration and a senior fellow at Brookings Institution. https://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/brexit-referendum/no-deal-brexit-might-look-n948691

The possibility of violence in Ireland is real, but there are actually worse scenarios than that.

Consider something that BBC’s Kevin Connolly reported a while back (see EU states that UK must pay a price for Brexit and be worse off than EU member states):

The 27 EU Remainer states are adamant that Britain will pay a price for leaving and will be worse off outside than the union than it is on the inside.

Jean-Claude Juncker said last year that the UK would regret its Brexit decision:

13 September 2017

European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker … said Europe’s economy was “bouncing back” and the EU had to move beyond Brexit. …

Addressing the UK’s decision to leave the EU on 29 March 2019, he said that “we will always regret this” and, departing from his script, he added “and you will regret it soon, too”. “We will move on because Brexit isn’t everything. It isn’t the future of Europe – it’s not the be all and end all.” https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-41251914

UK Prime Minister Theresa May does not want a no deal Brexit. Instead, she keeps pleading for acceptance of the deal she negotiated with the EU:

December 19, 2018

LONDON (Reuters) – British Prime Minister Theresa May will urge the devolved nations of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland to “listen to business” at a meeting on Wednesday and back her Brexit deal, which envisages continuing close ties with the EU.

A day after her government said it would implement plans for a no-deal Brexit in full, May was due to stress how her deal works for all parts of Britain, her office said.

“I am confident that what we have agreed delivers for the whole of the UK,” she was due to say ahead of the meeting.

“That’s why it is more important than ever that the devolved administrations get behind this deal and listen to businesses and industry bodies across all four nations who have been clear that it provides the certainty they need.” https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-devolved/uk-pm-may-urges-devolved-nations-to-back-her-brexit-deal-idUSKBN1OH2IE

If the proposed deal is approved as is, it is not a total break from the EU (at least at this stage; see also EU approves Brino Brexit deal, but deal still needs approval by UK and EU parliaments). The EU will still be upset with the UK and later will further insist on outcomes that many in the UK do not want.

If the UK Parliament does not approve the proposed Brexit deal on January 14, 2019 (or perhaps even later), the UK would either have to try to stop the Brexit somehow (some want another national vote), ask the EU for a delay, or exit the European Union without a deal.

A no deal Brexit is often referred to as a hard Brexit.

Many who voted for a Brexit seem to prefer a hard Brexit to Theresa May’s deal.

But most in Parliament do not seem to want the UK to exit the European Union, so some like at least aspects of Theresa May’s deal.

Even if there is a ‘hard’ (no deal with the EU) or ‘soft’ (May’s proposal) Brexit. or even if there is NO Brexit, all this Brexit talk has upset the Europeans and they will not forgive and forget.

Consider that the Bible itself teaches that Europe will reorganize and unite (Revelation 17:12-13; see also Must the Ten Kings of Revelation 17:12 Rule over Ten Currently Existing Nations?), as well as become the dominant world trading power for a time (Revelation 17 & 18). The Bible also teaches of a time of Jacob’s trouble (Jeremiah 30:7)–and this will include the UK (as well as the USA, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand).

Europe is not going to ‘get over’ the Brexit and will one day take violent actions that most of those in the UK (as well as USA and Canada) will not consider possible (cf. Daniel 8:24-25, 11:39; see also USA in Prophecy: The Strongest Fortresses).

The long-term consequences of Brexit will include the elimination of the nation officially called the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

Some items of possibly related interest may include:

Brexit and the fate of Northern Ireland, Gibraltar, the UK, and the USA On April 29, 2017, 27 of the nations of the European Union agreed to certain guidelines for the negotiations with the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland which gave its notice to leave on March 29, 2017. These guidelines are contrary to what the UK wants. Does the EU intend the UK to pay a price for leaving the EU? What does Spain want? What does the Republic of Ireland want? Will Northern Ireland and Gibraltar eventually fall under European control? Will the UK and USA be conquered? What does the Bible teach? Dr. Thiel answer these questions and more in this video.
Forbes’ Brexit Monster is the Beast of Revelation Various ones have been properly convinced that there is a plan for a European superstate. Forbes’ writer Tom Worstall wrote that the Brexit vote was about the United Kingdom “not joining the monster of the European Union to come.” The Bible tells of a Beast monster that will arise in the end times in Europe. Dr. Thiel cites news reports, as well as the Old and New Testaments, to show that the monster many fear will arise in Europe, despite the vote by the British to exit the European Union. This is a video.
Will the UK Lose Gibraltar and the Falkland Islands? For many years, the major sea gates of the world were possessed/controlled by the United States (Panama Canal and certain locations in the Pacific ocean) and the British Empire (Straits of Malacca, Singapore, Suez Canal, Bab el Mandeb, Strait of Hormuz, Simon’s Town/Cape of Good Hope, Malta, etc.), and many are no longer under their control. Spain wants Gibraltar and Argentina wants the Falklands (also known as the Malvinas). UK Prime Minister David Cameron says the UK will defend the Falklands Gibraltar. Does the Bible give clues as to what will happen with those ‘sea gates’? Do promises made the Jacob’s mother Rebekah play a role? What about Deuteronomy 28? This is a video.
Post Brexit Prophecy On June 23, 2016, the voters of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland (UK) chose to leave the European Union. Now with this BRitish EXIT (Brexit) vote, what is prophesied to happen to the UK? Will the UK do well or be taken over and made slaves? Dr. Thiel explains from biblical prophecies what is ahead for the UK, Europe, and even the USA, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. This is a video.
Will the UK Lose Gibraltar and the Falkland Islands? Spain wants Gibraltar and Argentina wants the Falklands (also known as the Malvinas). Does the Bible give clues as to what will happen with these ‘sea gates’? A version of the article in the Spanish language would be ¿Perderá el Reino Unido a Gibraltar y las Islas Falkland (Malvinas)?
Anglo – America in Prophecy & the Lost Tribes of Israel Are the Americans, Canadians, English, Scottish, Welsh, Australians, Anglo-Saxon (non-Dutch) Southern Africans, and New Zealanders descendants of Joseph? Where are the lost ten-tribes of Israel? Who are the lost tribes of Israel? What will happen to Jerusalem and the Jews in Israel? Will God punish the U.S.A., Canada, United Kingdom, and other Anglo-Saxon nations? Why might God allow them to be punished first? Here is a link to the Spanish version of this article: Anglo-América & las Tribus Perdidas de Israel. Information is also in the YouTube sermons titled Where are the Ten Lost Tribes? Why does it matter? and British are the Covenant People. A short YouTube of prophetic interest may be: Are Chinese threats against Australia for real?
Will the Anglo-Saxon Nations be Divided and Have People Taken as Slaves? Will the lands of the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand be divided? What about Jerusalem? What does Bible prophecy teach? Are there non-biblical prophecies that support this idea? Who will divide those lands? Who will end up with the lands and the people? Here is a link to a video titled Will the USA and other Anglo-nations be Divided and Their People Made Slaves? Here is a related item in the Spanish language ¿Serán divididas las naciones anglosajonas?
British are the Covenant People What do ‘British’ and ‘Britain’ mean in Hebrew? Are the descendants of the Anglo-Saxons people of the covenant? Does the British royal family connect to the throne of David? What does the Bible teach? What does history show us? Is there any DNA evidence related to British-Israelism? When did Christianity make it to the British Isles? Could Jeremiah have made it to the British Isles? What type of Christians made it to the British Isles? Did the last King of England believe in British Israelism?
Catholic Prophecies: Do They Mirror, Highlight, or Contradict Biblical Prophecies? People of all faiths may be surprised to see what various Roman and Orthodox Catholic prophets have been predicting as many of their predictions will be looked to in the 21st century.
USA in Prophecy: The Strongest Fortresses Can you point to scriptures, like Daniel 11:39, that point to the USA in the 21st century? This article does. A related sermon is titled: Do these 7 prophesies point to the end of the USA?
Who is the King of the West? Why is there no Final End-Time King of the West in Bible Prophecy? Is the United States the King of the West? Here is a version in the Spanish language: ¿Quién es el Rey del Occidente? ¿Por qué no hay un Rey del Occidente en la profecía del tiempo del fin?
Who is the King of the North? Is there one? Do biblical and Roman Catholic prophecies for the Great Monarch point to the same leader? Should he be followed? Who will be the King of the North discussed in Daniel 11? Is a nuclear attack prophesied to happen to the English-speaking peoples of the United States, Great Britain, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand? When do the 1335 days, 1290 days, and 1260 days (the time, times, and half a time) of Daniel 12 begin? When does the Bible show that economic collapse will affect the United States? In the Spanish language check out ¿Quién es el Rey del Norte? Here is a link to a video titled: The Future King of the North.
Must the Ten Kings of Revelation 17:12 Rule over Ten Currently Existing Nations? Some claim that these passages refer to a gathering of 10 currently existing nations together, while one group teaches that this is referring to 11 nations getting together. Is that what Revelation 17:12-13 refers to? The ramifications of misunderstanding this are enormous. A related sermon is titled Ten Kings of Revelation and the Great Tribulation.
Europa, the Beast, and Revelation Where did Europe get its name? What might Europe have to do with the Book of Revelation? What about “the Beast”? Is an emerging European power “the daughter of Babylon”? What is ahead for Europe? Here is a link to a video titled: Can You Prove that the Beast to Come is European?



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